Will Tesla say “Roadster”?
Tesla said “Roadster” 2 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Roadster” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Roadster
- Probability
- 59% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…production of the Tesla Semi Truck in Q3. And did the new Roadster demo, which was, I think, one of the most exciting events, arguably…
…want to own, like the 3 and the Y and whatnot, and Roadster, obviously. But the vast majority of the Cybercab stuff will be essentially…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…which is that it's going to be almost entirely autonomous. In fact, long term, the only manually driven car will be the new Tesla Roadster.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…make will be autonomous vehicles with the exception of the next generation Roadster which we're hoping to debut in April. Hopefully, it's gonna be something…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Tesla say “Roadster” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Roadster” 2 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 2 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Roadster”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Roadster” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Roadster” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Roadster’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/roadster (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=roadster · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP