Will Tesla say “Powerwall”?

Tesla did not say “Powerwall” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 1, 4, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Powerwall” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 23, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

33%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

Powerwall

Probability
33% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Vaibhav TanejacompanypreparedIn transcript

…in all regions and continued strength in demand for both MegaPack and Powerwall. As we look at 2026, our backlog remains strong, well-diversified globally, and…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Elon MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…a huge impact on the energy sector with battery storage. With both Powerwall and especially with the Megapack, we are dramatically improving the ability to…

Travis AxelrodcompanyqaIn transcript

…The next question is, what is the demand and backlog for Megapack, Powerwall, solar, or energy storage systems? With the current AI boom, is Tesla…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Elon R. MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…the Megapack that will make it even better. And we had record powerwall deployment again in Q2. So I think batteries are just going to…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 22, 2026PowerwallKalshiNo0
Jul 23, 2025PowerwallKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “Powerwall” on its last earnings call?
Tesla did not say “Powerwall” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 1, 4, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Tesla say “Powerwall”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Powerwall” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 23, 2025.
What is the probability Tesla says “Powerwall” next time?
33%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Powerwall’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/powerwall (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=powerwall · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP