Will Tesla say “Robot”?

Tesla said “Robot” 21 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 17, 9, 9, 25, 20, 3, 11, 21 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Robot” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 97% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

97%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: anyone
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

Robot

Probability
97% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · said 21 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

21 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 15 in Q&A).

Elon Muskcompanyprepared · 5:24Hear it 5:18, Elon Musk In transcript

…there's 10,000 things that have to go right for production of the robot, and it'll move as fast as the slowest, least lucky of the…

Elon Muskcompanyprepared · 6:53Hear it 6:47, Elon Musk In transcript

…need to tweak about the design because you need to deliver a robot that is safe and reliable and has long duration. It can't wear…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · said 11 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

11 counted (10 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Elon Muskcompanyprepared · 5:54Hear it 5:48, Elon Musk In transcript

…one of the hardest things to solve, to make an autonomous humanoid robot that can do tasks that if you simply ask it to do…

Elon Muskcompanyprepared · 6:31Hear it 6:28, Elon Musk In transcript

…in the field and not break down. Otherwise, you've got a 70-kg robot that just flopped over and you've got to carry it out like…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Elon MuskcompanyqaIn transcript

…we think we can put a lot of intelligence locally in the robot, and certainly needs to be enough intelligence that if the robot gets…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 20 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · said 25 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · said 9 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · said 9 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 17 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026RobotPolymarketYes21
Jul 22, 2026RobotPolymarketYes11

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “Robot” on its last earnings call?
Tesla said “Robot” 21 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 17, 9, 9, 25, 20, 3, 11, 21 times.
How often does Tesla say “Robot”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Robot” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability Tesla says “Robot” next time?
97%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Robot’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/robot (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=robot · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP