Will Tesla say “Grok4”?
Tesla did not say “Grok4” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Grok4” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 23, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 19% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Grok4
- Probability
- 19% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…xAI is -- Grok is the smartest AI overall, but it's -- Grok 4 is a giant beast sort of at the terabyte level. And…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Tesla say “Grok4” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla did not say “Grok4” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Grok4”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Grok4” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 23, 2025.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Grok4” next time?
- 19%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Grok4’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/grok4 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=grok4 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP