Will Tesla say “Factory”?

Tesla said “Factory” 11 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 16, 21, 5, 5, 19, 9, 8, 11 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Factory” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 95% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

95%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: anyone
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

Factory

Probability
95% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · said 11 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

11 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A).

Elon Muskcompanyprepared · 6:40Hear it 6:34, Elon Musk In transcript

…an entire gigantic global supply chain and have domestically a very big factory, and everything's got to work. There's still some things we need to…

Vaibhav Tanejacompanyprepared · 10:52Hear it 10:48, Vaibhav Taneja In transcript

…by production. We are therefore focused on increasing production at all our factories to meet this growing demand. While we are actively working to increase…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · said 8 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

8 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A).

Vaibhav Tanejacompanyprepared · 16:36Hear it 16:31, Vaibhav Taneja In transcript

…since 2023. We are therefore focused on increasing production at all our factories to meet this growing demand. Production growth will be limited by our…

Ashok Elluswamycompanyprepared · 28:17Hear it 28:11, Ashok Elluswamy In transcript

…of humans giving us data from all of the workers at our factory. Optimus can learn quite a bit from observing them perform their tasks…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · said 9 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

9 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).

Elon MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…In fact, we'll be ramping up production of all vehicles, in all factories, to the best of our ability through the balance of this year.…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 19 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · said 21 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 16 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 22, 2026FactoryPolymarketYes8

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “Factory” on its last earnings call?
Tesla said “Factory” 11 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 16, 21, 5, 5, 19, 9, 8, 11 times.
How often does Tesla say “Factory”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Factory” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 22, 2026.
What is the probability Tesla says “Factory” next time?
95%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Factory’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/factory (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=factory · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP