Will Tesla say “Megapack”?
Tesla said “Megapack” 3 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 4, 12, 4, 3, 4, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Megapack” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 88% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Megapack
- Probability
- 88% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…demand is very strong. We are actually almost sold out of all Megapacks for 2027, and we are ramping production as quickly as possible to…
…Additionally, which I like to add is we also started deliveries of Megapacks with our in-house LFP batteries. For the first time, two consecutive quarters…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…production with the Tesla Semi truck. We will soon start production with Megapack 3. We've started production with the lithium refinery, the cathode refinery. We're…
…Optimus in a box, and in a Megapod, kind of like the Megapack packaging. Where we put just a large number of AI full plus…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…lot of energy storage to meet growing electricity demand. Demand for our Megapack is very strong. We're excited to begin production of Megapack 3 later…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2025 | Megapack |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Megapack” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Megapack” 3 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 4, 12, 4, 3, 4, 3 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Megapack”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Megapack” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Megapack” next time?
- 88%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Megapack’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/megapack (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=megapack · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP