Will Tesla say “Robotaxi”?
Tesla said “Robotaxi” 15 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 11, 8, 10, 15, 26, 26, 15 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Robotaxi” at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 97% (n=6, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 6 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Robotaxi
- Probability
- 97% · n=6
- Settled
- 6/6 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
15 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 11 in Q&A); 7 by speakers the rule does not count.
…are now headed for a lot of fun and significant growth. Regarding Robotaxi, we are seeing the Robotaxi miles driven or fully autonomous miles driven…
…of the businesses in services and other, including Supercharging and insurance. The Robotaxi business, which is part of services and others, continued to grow with…
Counts: company speakers + operator
26 counted (17 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…infrastructure and manufacturing capacity ever in history. It's a big deal. With Robotaxi, our goals are very ambitious for Robotaxi, but we do need to…
…to injure anyone. We're going as fast as humanly possible in scaling Robotaxi, but while trying to ensure that we do not harm anyone at…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
26 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 19 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
For Full Self-Driving and Robotaxi, version 14.3 was a major architectural update, and we have a whole pipeline of major improvements to Full Self-Driving that…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Robotaxi |  Kalshi | Yes | 15 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Robotaxi | Kalshi | Yes | 26 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Robotaxi |  Polymarket | Yes | 15 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Robotaxi | Kalshi | Yes | 15 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Robotaxi | Kalshi | Yes | 10 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Robotaxi | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Robotaxi | Kalshi | Yes | 11 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Robotaxi” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Robotaxi” 15 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 11, 8, 10, 15, 26, 26, 15 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Robotaxi”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Robotaxi” at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Robotaxi” next time?
- 97%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Robotaxi’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/robotaxi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=robotaxi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP