Will Tesla say “Software”?

Tesla said “Software” 10 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 8, 3, 10, 7, 9, 4, 10 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Software” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 94% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

94%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: anyone
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

Software

Probability
94% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · said 10 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

10 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 10 in Q&A).

Ashok Elluswamycompanyqa · 18:39Hear it 18:35, Ashok Elluswamy In transcript

…fact, next month we'll be launching in Dallas, and then the same software just scaled to lots of other cities, along with the Model Y…

Elon Muskcompanyqa · 24:09Hear it 24:03, Elon Musk In transcript

…operate for long periods of time without wearing out, getting the AI software right, and the AI 5 chip integrated, all of these things come…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Ashok Elluswamycompanyprepared · 26:07Hear it 26:01, Ashok Elluswamy In transcript

…operating Robotaxi fleet is already running early versions of the V15 FSD software that we had referred to in the past. For V15, we had…

Ashok Elluswamycompanyprepared · 29:55Hear it 29:51, Ashok Elluswamy In transcript

…team that produced the FSD, the V12, 13, 14, and now V15 software that now works on Optimus as well. Hence, I'm very confident that…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · said 9 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

9 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A).

Elon MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…way. We're investing in and improving our core technologies, battery powertrain, AI software, AI training, chip design, laying the groundwork for significantly increased manufacturing production.…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 7 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · said 10 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · said 8 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026SoftwarePolymarketYes10
Jul 22, 2026SoftwarePolymarketYes4

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “Software” on its last earnings call?
Tesla said “Software” 10 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 8, 3, 10, 7, 9, 4, 10 times.
How often does Tesla say “Software”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Software” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability Tesla says “Software” next time?
94%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Software’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/software (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=software · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP