Will Tesla say “Semi Truck”?

Tesla said “Semi Truck” 2 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 1, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Semi Truck” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

43%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: anyone
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

Semi Truck

Probability
43% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Elon Muskcompanyprepared · 2:07Hear it 2:03, Elon Musk In transcript

…Europe and many other countries. We also began production of the Tesla Semi Truck in Q3. And did the new Roadster demo, which was, I…

Vaibhav Tanejacompanyprepared · 15:24Hear it 15:18, Vaibhav Taneja In transcript

…pre-production ramp costs for new products like the Optimus, Megapack 3, and Semi Truck. This trend of growing OpEx would continue till we commercialize these…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Elon Muskcompanyprepared · 2:53Hear it 2:49, Elon Musk In transcript

…soon start production with Optimus. We have started production with the Tesla Semi truck. We will soon start production with Megapack 3. We've started production…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Travis AxelrodcompanyqaIn transcript

…Ashok. Alrighty. Our final question from Se is, how long until we see self-driving Tesla Semi trucks? And could you see this technology replacing trains?

Ashok ElluswamycompanyqaIn transcript

…autonomy. That said, the same technology will apply quite easily to the semi truck once we have a little bit of data from the semi…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jan 28, 2026Semi TruckPolymarketNo0
Apr 22, 2025Semi Truck / Semi-truckKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “Semi Truck” on its last earnings call?
Tesla said “Semi Truck” 2 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 1, 2 times.
How often does Tesla say “Semi Truck”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Semi Truck” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025.
What is the probability Tesla says “Semi Truck” next time?
43%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Semi Truck’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/semi-truck (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=semi%20truck · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP