Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 14, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say at Department of Justice event on Friday?
Markets
22 words · 12 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 55%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Border 3+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fairness | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hoax | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Justice | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Laptop | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Law | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Order | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Reform | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rule of Law | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weaponization | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fentanyl | Yes | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Women's Sports | No | 51%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Million 10+ times | No | 40%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Billion 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deregulation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sanctuary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Waste 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | 28%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 25%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 9%n=67 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-at-department-of-justice-event-on-friday · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP