Donald Trump: Remarks, Aug 5, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during Executive Order signing on August 5?
Markets
9 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pam / Bondi | Yes | 49%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Women's Sports | Yes | 45%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Olympic / Olympics 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Football / Soccer | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sydney / Taylor | Yes | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Obama | No | 52%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Woke | No | 26%n=15 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-executive-order-signing-on-august-5 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP