Will Donald Trump say “Hell” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hell” 3+ times at 11 of 29 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 5, 2024 (38%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=29, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Hell 3+ times
- Probability
- 40% · n=29
- Settled
- 11/29 (38%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…"Thank you very much, everybody." And I left. I said, "Who the hell was that guy?" And that's where it began, right? That's where it…
…know, I shouldn't say I shouldn't break, should I? Yeah. What the hell difference? Which I won all three times, receiving more votes than any…
…National Cyber Director Sean Camon -- where are you, Sean? Where the hell is you? I got to get this name so perfect -- Cairncross.…
…It would be a disaster. She's a fanatical transgender activist. How the hell do you run in South Carolina? Am I in a different state?…
…talking about some -- you got to remove people, get them the hell out, or they're not going to have a -- they're not going…
Every settled listing
newest first · 29 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Hell 3+ times |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | 2 |
| May 4, 2026 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Hell 3+ | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Hell 3+ | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 13, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 1, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Hell 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Hell 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hell” 3+ times at 11 of 29 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 5, 2024 (38%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Hell 3+ times” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=29). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Hell 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/hell-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=hell%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP