Donald Trump: Remarks, Oct 26, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during Malaysia events on October 26?
Markets
20 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thank you 8+ times | Yes | 69%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 53%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Please 8+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Eight Wars | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 41%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Malaysia / Thailand / Cambodia 15+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace 7+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Abraham | No | 50%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | No | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ship / Submarine | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Stupid / Idiot | No | 46%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| North Korea | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Dancing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Damn / Shit / Fuck | No | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Obama / Biden 5+ times | No | 40%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Machete | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Department of War | No | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 3+ times | No | 31%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Chip / Drone | No | 29%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=148 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-malaysia-events-on-october-26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP