Todd Blanche
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 261 word markets on Todd Blanche’s appearances since 2026, on 100 different words; most reliably said: “Fraud” (8 of 10).
History Wall
1–40 of 103, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Jun 2hearing | Jun 6episode | Jun 23conference | Jul 15hearing | Aug 12conference | Aug 16episode | Aug 22episode | Sep 10speech | Sep 15briefing | Oct 4latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein | Settled yes: Epstein, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Epstein, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Jun 23 conference | Settled yes: Epstein, Jul 15 hearing | Settled no: Epstein, Aug 12 conference | Settled no: Epstein, Aug 16 episode | 0 times: Epstein, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Sep 10 speech | Settled no: Epstein, Sep 15 briefing | 0 times: Epstein, Oct 4 episode | 2/825% | 4/1429% | 43%n=8 from settlement history |
| Biden | Settled no: Biden, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Biden, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Biden, Jun 23 conference | Settled yes: Biden, Jul 15 hearing | Settled no: Biden, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Biden, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Biden, Aug 22 episode | Settled no: Biden, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Biden, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Biden, Oct 4 episode | 1/425% | 3/1225% | 36%n=9 from settlement history |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 23 conference | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 15 hearing | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 12 conference | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 16 episode | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 15 briefing | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 4 episode | 1/911% | 1/128% | 37%n=6 from settlement history |
| Trump3+ times | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 23 conference | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), Jul 15 hearing | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Aug 12 conference | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), Aug 16 episode | 5 times: Trump (3+ times), Aug 22 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), Sep 15 briefing | 2 times: Trump (3+ times), Oct 4 episode, below the threshold | 6/875% | 8/1173% | 61%n=5 from settlement history |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Settled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 6 episode | Settled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 23 conference | Settled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jul 15 hearing | Settled no: Terrorist / Terrorism, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Aug 16 episode | 2 times: Terrorist / Terrorism, Aug 22 episode, counts as said | Settled no: Terrorist / Terrorism, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Sep 15 briefing | 0 times: Terrorist / Terrorism, Oct 4 episode | 5/862% | 6/1155% | 53%n=9 from settlement history |
| Democrat | Not listed: Democrat, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Democrat, Jun 6 episode | Settled yes: Democrat, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Democrat, Jul 15 hearing | Settled no: Democrat, Aug 12 conference | Settled yes: Democrat, Aug 16 episode | 1 time: Democrat, Aug 22 episode, counts as said | Settled no: Democrat, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Democrat, Sep 15 briefing | 1 time: Democrat, Oct 4 episode, counts as said | 5/862% | 5/1145% | 46%n=5 from settlement history |
| Fraud | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 23 conference | Settled yes: Fraud, Jul 15 hearing | Settled yes: Fraud, Aug 12 conference | Settled no: Fraud, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Aug 22 episode | Settled yes: Fraud, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Fraud, Sep 15 briefing | 0 times: Fraud, Oct 4 episode | 4/667% | 8/1080% | 72%n=6 from settlement history |
| Iran / Iraniannever said | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jul 15 hearing | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Aug 12 conference | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 4 episode | 0/50% | 0/80% | 20%n=5 from settlement history |
| Election | Settled yes: Election, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Election, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Election, Jun 23 conference | Settled yes: Election, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Election, Aug 12 conference | Settled no: Election, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Election, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Election, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Election, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Election, Oct 4 episode | 2/540% | 3/743% | 58%n=5 from settlement history |
| Fentanyl | Settled yes: Fentanyl, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Fentanyl, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Fentanyl, Jun 23 conference | Settled yes: Fentanyl, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Fentanyl, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Fentanyl, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Fentanyl, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Fentanyl, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Fentanyl, Sep 15 briefing | 0 times: Fentanyl, Oct 4 episode | 3/650% | 3/650% | 60%n=4 from settlement history |
| Pam / Bondi | Settled no: Pam / Bondi, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Jun 23 conference | Settled no: Pam / Bondi, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Oct 4 episode | 0/20% | 2/633% | 36%n=4 from settlement history |
| Illegal Alien | Not listed: Illegal Alien, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Illegal Alien, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Illegal Alien, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Illegal Alien, Jul 15 hearing | Settled no: Illegal Alien, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Illegal Alien, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Illegal Alien, Aug 22 episode | Settled yes: Illegal Alien, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Illegal Alien, Sep 15 briefing | 0 times: Illegal Alien, Oct 4 episode | 2/540% | 2/633% | 49%n=5 from settlement history |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jun 23 conference | Settled yes: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Oct 4 episode | 1/333% | 3/560% | 60%n=4 from settlement history |
| Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization | Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Jun 23 conference | Settled yes: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Aug 22 episode | Settled no: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Sep 15 briefing | 0 times: Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization, Oct 4 episode | 2/450% | 3/560% | 58%n=4 from settlement history |
| China / Chinese | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 23 conference | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: China / Chinese, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: China / Chinese, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Sep 15 briefing | 0 times: China / Chinese, Oct 4 episode | 1/425% | 1/520% | 46%n=3 from settlement history |
| Trumpevery time | Not listed: Trump, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Trump, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Trump, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Trump, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Trump, Aug 22 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Trump, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Trump, Oct 4 episode | 1/1100% | 4/4100% | 63%n=3 from settlement history |
| FBI | Not listed: FBI, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: FBI, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: FBI, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: FBI, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: FBI, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: FBI, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: FBI, Aug 22 episode | Settled no: FBI, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: FBI, Sep 15 briefing | 0 times: FBI, Oct 4 episode | 1/333% | 2/450% | 54%n=3 from settlement history |
| Crime / Criminal | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Aug 16 episode | 0 times: Crime / Criminal, Aug 22 episode | Settled yes: Crime / Criminal, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Oct 4 episode | 1/250% | 1/425% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE / Border | Not listed: ICE / Border, Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: ICE / Border, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: ICE / Border, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: ICE / Border, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: ICE / Border, Aug 16 episode | 0 times: ICE / Border, Aug 22 episode | Settled yes: ICE / Border, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: ICE / Border, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: ICE / Border, Oct 4 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Healthcare | Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Healthcare, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Healthcare, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Healthcare, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Healthcare, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Healthcare, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 4 episode | 0/10% | 1/333% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| National Security | Settled no: National Security, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: National Security, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: National Security, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: National Security, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: National Security, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: National Security, Aug 16 episode | 0 times: National Security, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: National Security, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: National Security, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: National Security, Oct 4 episode | 0/20% | 0/30% | 34%n=2 from settlement history |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Settled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Oct 4 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 29%n=2 from settlement history |
| California | Not listed: California, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: California, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: California, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: California, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: California, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: California, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: California, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: California, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: California, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: California, Oct 4 episode | – | 2/2100% | 57%n=2 from settlement history |
| Midterm / Election | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Sep 10 speech | Settled yes: Midterm / Election, Sep 15 briefing | 6 times: Midterm / Election, Oct 4 episode, counts as said | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Victim / Survivor | Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Victim / Survivor, Oct 4 episode | – | 2/2100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Taxpayer | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jul 15 hearing | Settled yes: Taxpayer, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Taxpayer, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Taxpayer, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Taxpayer, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Taxpayer, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Oct 4 episode | 1/1100% | 2/2100% | 58%n=2 from settlement history |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jun 23 conference | Settled yes: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Oct 4 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 51%n=2 from settlement history |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis, Oct 4 episode | – | 1/250% | – |
| Clinton | Not listed: Clinton, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Clinton, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Clinton, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Clinton, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Clinton, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Clinton, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Clinton, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Clinton, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Clinton, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Clinton, Oct 4 episode | – | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ghislaine / Maxwell | Settled no: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Ghislaine / Maxwell, Oct 4 episode | 0/10% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: ICE, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: ICE, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: ICE, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: ICE, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: ICE, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: ICE, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: ICE, Sep 10 speech | Settled no: ICE, Sep 15 briefing | 1 time: ICE, Oct 4 episode, counts as said | 1/250% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| JD / Vance | Not listed: JD / Vance, Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: JD / Vance, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: JD / Vance, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: JD / Vance, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: JD / Vance, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: JD / Vance, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: JD / Vance, Oct 4 episode | 1/1100% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Khanna / Massie | Not listed: Khanna / Massie, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Khanna / Massie, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Khanna / Massie, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Khanna / Massie, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Khanna / Massie, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Khanna / Massie, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Khanna / Massie, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Khanna / Massie, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Khanna / Massie, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Khanna / Massie, Oct 4 episode | – | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Minnesota | Not listed: Minnesota, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Minnesota, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Minnesota, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Minnesota, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Minnesota, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Minnesota, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Minnesota, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Minnesota, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Minnesota, Sep 15 briefing | 1 time: Minnesota, Oct 4 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump5+ times | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Trump (5+ times), Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Oct 4 episode | 0/10% | 1/250% | 42%n=2 from settlement history |
| Bipartisan / Partisan | Not listed: Bipartisan / Partisan, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Bipartisan / Partisan, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Bipartisan / Partisan, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Bipartisan / Partisan, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Bipartisan / Partisan, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Bipartisan / Partisan, Aug 16 episode | 0 times: Bipartisan / Partisan, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Bipartisan / Partisan, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Bipartisan / Partisan, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Bipartisan / Partisan, Oct 4 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Ceasefire | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Ceasefire, Aug 12 conference | Settled no: Ceasefire, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Sep 10 speech | Settled no: Ceasefire, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Ceasefire, Oct 4 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 4 episode | – | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial | Settled no: UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial, Jun 23 conference | Settled no: UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial, Aug 12 conference | Not listed: UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial, Sep 10 speech | Not listed: UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial, Oct 4 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 33%n=2 from settlement history |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 23 conference | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 12 conference | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 16 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 22 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 10 speech | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 15 briefing | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 4 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Todd Blanche say during Fox News Sunday? | Captions · machine-attributed | 17 | 5 yes · 12 no | 16/16 (100%) |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Press briefingWhat will Todd Blanche say during his WH Press Briefing? | no transcript | 23 | 11 yes · 12 no | – |
| Sep 10, 2026 | SpeechWhat will Todd Blanche say during RNC Midterm Convention? | no transcript | 13 | 5 yes · 8 no | – |
| Aug 22, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? | Captions · machine-attributed | 14 | 5 yes · 9 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Aug 16, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Todd Blanche say during Fox News Sunday? | no transcript | 14 | 2 yes · 12 no | – |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Todd Blanche say during his Press Conference? | no transcript | 14 | 3 yes · 11 no | – |
| Jul 15, 2026 | HearingWhat will Todd Blanche say during his Senate Confirmation hearing? | no transcript | 18 | 12 yes · 6 no | – |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Todd Blanche & Kash Patel say during the DOJ Press Conference? | no transcript | 15 | 4 yes · 11 no | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Todd Blanche say during Saturday in America? | no transcript | 16 | 3 yes · 13 no | – |
| Jun 2, 2026 | HearingWhat will Todd Blanche say during the DOJ Oversight Hearing? | no transcript | 15 | 5 yes · 10 no | – |
| May 19, 2026 | HearingWhat will Todd Blanche say during the DOJ Budget Hearing? | no transcript | 18 | 9 yes · 9 no | – |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will the DOJ say during the WH Correspondents Dinner press conference? | no transcript | 18 | 10 yes · 8 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/todd-blanche · words: /api/v1/history?entity=todd-blanche · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP