Will Todd Blanche say “California”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “California” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 7, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
California
- Probability
- 57% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…is just today, our great US attorney in the Southern District of California, Adam Gordon, just held a press conference and announced just about an…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | California |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 7, 2026 | California | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “California”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “California” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 7, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “California” next time?
- 57%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘California’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/california (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=california · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP