Will Todd Blanche say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Todd Blanche did not say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
Somali / Somalia / Somalian
- Probability
- 29% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of these individuals were naturalized citizens from Syria, Afghanistan, Sudan, Iraq and Somalia. When it comes to unlawful voting, which I expect there may be…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Somali / Somalia / Somalian |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Todd Blanche did not say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Somali / Somalia / Somalian’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/somali-or-somalia-or-somalian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=somali%20%2F%20somalia%20%2F%20somalian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP