Will Todd Blanche say “ICE / Border”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “ICE / Border” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 6, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
ICE / Border
- Probability
- 55% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | ICE / Border |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 22, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “ICE / Border”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “ICE / Border” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 6, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “ICE / Border” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘ICE / Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/border-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=border%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP