Will Todd Blanche say “Ceasefire”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche did not say “Ceasefire” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 press briefings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
Ceasefire
- Probability
- 36% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “Ceasefire”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche did not say “Ceasefire” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Ceasefire” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Ceasefire’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/ceasefire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=ceasefire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP