Will Todd Blanche say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Trump” 3+ times at 8 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 23, 2026 (73%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 61% · n=11
- Settled
- 8/11 (73%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 19 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted; 9 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | No | 2 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 19, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Trump” 3+ times at 8 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 23, 2026 (73%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP