Will Todd Blanche say “Biden”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Biden” at 3 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

36%from settlement history only · n=12counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Todd Blanche

Biden

Probability
36% · n=12
Settled
3/12 (25%)
Last 3 transcripts
said in 2 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Todd BlanchespeakerAttorney General of the United States Todd Blanche Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 15, 2026 · Sep 15, 2026 · 13:50In transcript

…elections. That's not new to this administration, it's not new to the Biden administration. And so our role is going to be the same role…

Todd BlancheguestFox News: Saturday in America, August 22, 2026 · Aug 22, 2026 · 6:58In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during his WH Press Briefing? · not listed

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What will Todd Blanche say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during his Press Conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during his Senate Confirmation hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Todd Blanche & Kash Patel say during the DOJ Press Conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during Saturday in America? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during the DOJ Oversight Hearing? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 10, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Aug 12, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Jul 15, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Jun 2, 2026BidenKalshiNo
May 19, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Apr 27, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Apr 26, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Apr 23, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Apr 7, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Mar 26, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Mar 20, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Jan 31, 2026BidenKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Todd Blanche say “Biden”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Biden” at 3 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026.
What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Biden” next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP