Will Todd Blanche say “Biden”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Biden” at 3 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceTodd Blanche
Biden
- Probability
- 36% · n=12
- Settled
- 3/12 (25%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…elections. That's not new to this administration, it's not new to the Biden administration. And so our role is going to be the same role…
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Biden | No | |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Biden | No | |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Biden | Yes | |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Biden | No | |
| May 19, 2026 | Biden | Yes | |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Biden | No | |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Biden | No | |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Biden | No | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Biden | No | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Biden | Yes | |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Biden | No | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Biden | No |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “Biden”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Biden” at 3 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Biden” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP