Todd Blanche: Press conference, Jun 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Todd Blanche & Kash Patel say during the DOJ Press Conference?
Markets
14 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Yes | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Identity | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Medicare / Medicaid | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | No | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fentanyl | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Election | No | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUN23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP