Will Todd Blanche say “Trump” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Trump” 5+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes, 1 press briefing; Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
Trump (5+ times)
- Probability
- 42% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
…The first thing I'm going to talk about is terrorism. Since President Trump returned to office, FBI data shows 4,260 arrests related to FTOs, including…
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “Trump (5+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Trump” 5+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Trump (5+ times)” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Trump (5+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/trump-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP