Fox News Sunday: Episode, Aug 16, 2026
Kalshi What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News Sunday?
Markets
13 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | No | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Vandalize / Vandalized / Vandalism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordability / Affordable | No | 29%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 28%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Reflecting / Pool | No | 27%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 24%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 24%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 22%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 13%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFNSMENTION-26AUG16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP