Todd Blanche: Hearing, May 19, 2026
Kalshi What will Todd Blanche say during the DOJ Budget Hearing?
Markets
17 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fraud | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drug | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FBI | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden | Yes | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Security | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela / Maduro | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26MAY19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP