Will Todd Blanche say “Victim / Survivor”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Victim / Survivor” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Todd Blanche
Victim / Survivor
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a reasonable doubt that the person sold the death pill to the victim who then dies, that's a that's a federal crime and that's something…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Victim / Survivor |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Victim / Survivor | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Todd Blanche say “Victim / Survivor”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Victim / Survivor” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Victim / Survivor” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Victim / Survivor’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/survivor-or-victim (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=survivor%20%2F%20victim · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP