Will Todd Blanche say “Fraud”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Fraud” at 8 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026 (80%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

72%from settlement history only · n=10counts: named speaker only
Last 10
8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Todd Blanche

Fraud

Probability
72% · n=10
Settled
8/10 (80%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Todd BlanchespeakerAttorney General of the United States Todd Blanche Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 15, 2026 · Sep 15, 2026 · 3:41In transcript

…the first 18 months of the administration. We've talked a lot about fraud. Yesterday, we were -- I was in Missouri with the vice president…

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News Sunday? · not said

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What will Todd Blanche say during his WH Press Briefing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Todd Blanche say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

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What will Todd Blanche say during his Press Conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Todd Blanche say during his Senate Confirmation hearing? · settled yes

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What will Todd Blanche & Kash Patel say during the DOJ Press Conference? · not listed

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What will Todd Blanche say during Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Todd Blanche say during the DOJ Oversight Hearing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 4, 2026FraudKalshiNo0
Sep 15, 2026FraudKalshiYes–
Sep 10, 2026FraudKalshiYes–
Aug 16, 2026FraudKalshiNo–
Aug 12, 2026FraudKalshiYes–
Jul 15, 2026FraudKalshiYes–
May 19, 2026FraudKalshiYes–
Apr 26, 2026FraudKalshiYes–
Apr 23, 2026FraudKalshiYes–
Mar 26, 2026FraudKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Todd Blanche say “Fraud”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Fraud” at 8 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026 (80%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026.
What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Fraud” next time?
72%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP