Will Todd Blanche say “Democrat”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Democrat” at 5 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 7, 2026 (45%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

47%from settlement history only · n=11counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=democrat

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Todd Blanche

Democrat

Probability
47% · n=11
Settled
5/11 (45%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 2 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News Sunday? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 21 by speakers the rule does not count.

Todd Blancheguest11:06In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Donald Trump (video)other5:28In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Todd Blanche say during his WH Press Briefing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Todd Blanche say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled no

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What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 14 by speakers the rule does not count.

Todd Blancheguest6:59In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

narrationother7:50In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News Sunday? · settled yes

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What will Todd Blanche say during his Press Conference? · settled no

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What will Todd Blanche say during his Senate Confirmation hearing? · not listed

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What will Todd Blanche & Kash Patel say during the DOJ Press Conference? · settled yes

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What will Todd Blanche say during Saturday in America? · settled no

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What will Todd Blanche say during the DOJ Oversight Hearing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 11 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 4, 2026DemocratKalshiYes1
Sep 15, 2026DemocratKalshiYes–
Sep 10, 2026DemocratKalshiNo–
Aug 22, 2026DemocratKalshiYes1
Aug 16, 2026DemocratKalshiYes–
Aug 12, 2026DemocratKalshiNo–
Jun 23, 2026DemocratKalshiYes–
Jun 6, 2026DemocratKalshiNo–
Apr 26, 2026DemocratKalshiNo–
Apr 23, 2026DemocratKalshiNo–
Apr 7, 2026DemocratKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Todd Blanche say “Democrat”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Todd Blanche said “Democrat” at 5 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 7, 2026 (45%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026.
What is the probability Todd Blanche says “Democrat” next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Todd Blanche: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/todd-blanche/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=todd-blanche&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=todd-blanche&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP