Will Donald Trump say “Gianni / Infantino”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gianni / Infantino” at 9 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 24, 2026 (82%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Gianni / Infantino
- Probability
- 59% · n=11
- Settled
- 9/11 (82%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (10 of 15 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino |  Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino | Kalshi | Yes | 17 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino | Kalshi | Yes | 9 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Gianni / Infantino | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Gianni / Infantino”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gianni / Infantino” at 9 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 24, 2026 (82%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gianni / Infantino” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gianni / Infantino’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gianni-or-infantino (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gianni%20%2F%20infantino · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP