Donald Trump: Monthly window, Jun 30, 2026

By Jun 30Monthly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

40 known appearances
30 of 40 known appearances transcribed Window: Apr 1, 2026 to Jul 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 588 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (59 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

24 words · 16 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Barack Hussein Obama Yes2728✓78%n=56 from settlement history–
Crooked Joe Yes1011✓58%n=2 from settlement history–
Too Late Yes89✓46%n=24 from settlement history–
Con Job Yes33✓62%n=5 from settlement history–
Grossly Incompetent Yes33✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Low IQ Yes22✓53%n=11 from settlement history–
Whack Job / Wack Job Yes11✓67%n=2 from settlement history–
Newscum Yes11✓67%n=48 from settlement history–
Crooked Hillary Yes11✓62%n=7 from settlement history–
Witch Hunt Yes11✓59%n=5 from settlement history–
Pocahontas Yes11✓47%n=24 from settlement history–
Sleazebag Yes–0–63%n=4 from settlement history–
Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck Yes–0–60%n=4 from settlement history–
Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus Yes–0–50%n=3 from settlement history–
Fat Slob Yes–0–43%n=3 from settlement history–
Piggy Yes–0–43%n=3 from settlement history–
Marjorie Traitor Greene No–0–59%n=6 from settlement history–
Tampon Tim No–1–48%n=2 from settlement history–
Biden Crime Family No–0–43%n=3 from settlement history–
Crazy Bernie No–0–43%n=3 from settlement history–
Little Communist No–0–43%n=3 from settlement history–
Comrade Kamala No–0–43%n=14 from settlement history–
Rocket Man No–0–40%n=4 from settlement history–
Low Energy No–0–40%n=4 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP