Will Donald Trump say “Witch Hunt”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Witch Hunt” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 18, 2025 (71%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Witch Hunt
- Probability
- 63% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Witch Hunt |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Witch Hunt | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Witch Hunt | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (1 of 1 known appearance transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Witch hunt |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Witch Hunt | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Witch hunt | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Witch Hunt | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Witch Hunt”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Witch Hunt” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 18, 2025 (71%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Witch Hunt” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Witch Hunt’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/witch-hunt (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=witch%20hunt · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP