Will Donald Trump say “Marjorie Traitor Greene”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Marjorie Traitor Greene” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 30, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 84¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Marjorie Traitor Greene
- Probability
- 57% · n=8
- Settled
- 4/8 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Marjorie Traitor Greene |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Marjorie Traitor Greene | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (30 of 40 known appearances transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Marjorie Traitor Greene | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (1 of 1 known appearance transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Marjorie Traitor Greene |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Marjorie Traitor Greene | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Marjorie Traitor Greene | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Marjorie Traitor Greene | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Marjorie Traitor Greene | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Marjorie Traitor Greene”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Marjorie Traitor Greene” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 30, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Marjorie Traitor Greene” next time?
- 57%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Marjorie Traitor Greene’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/marjorie-traitor-greene (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=marjorie%20traitor%20greene · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP