Will Donald Trump say “Home / Housing”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Home / Housing” at 5 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Home / Housing
- Probability
- 45% · n=15
- Settled
- 5/15 (33%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…We love you, Florida. And I'm thrilled to be back in my home state, Florida. I won. You know, we won all three times with…
…ones. Oh, what did they leave the They left the admiral back home tonight. We have admirals. I have generals. We have the great doctor.…
…world, are literally towns and ecosystems with trafficked victims, with cities and housing, that they've built an empire for criminal syndicates to fleece American citizens.…
…$250 for that and they screw up their lives and they go home and mom slaps him around for I voted for that man. Don't…
…good to meet you. Willie Nelson with Salem Media. Nick, in my home state of California, Gavin Newsom signed a law that's been dubbed the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 15 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Home / Housing |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Housing / Home |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Home / Housing | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Home / Housing”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Home / Housing” at 5 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Home / Housing” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Home / Housing’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/home-or-housing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=home%20%2F%20housing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP