Will Donald Trump say “Credit”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Credit” at 5 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (38%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Credit
- Probability
- 42% · n=13
- Settled
- 5/13 (38%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…it. I did it three times and you know I got no credit for it. They don't talk about it. No, they don't talk about…
…to do that. I don't It takes You got to give them credit. It takes courage to do that at a Trump rally. He got…
Every settled listing
newest first · 14 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Credit |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Credit | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Credit | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Credit | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Credit |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Credit | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Credit | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Credit | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Credit | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Credit | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Credit | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Credit | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Credit | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Credit | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Credit”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Credit” at 5 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (38%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Credit” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Credit’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/credit (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=credit · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP