# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-11-11 · 24 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25NOV11 · as_of 2026-10-25T19:09:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-11 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25NOV11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral meeting with President of Syria, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p
China	china	58	48	0.83	YYYnYYYYnY	0.75
Biden	biden	96	75	0.78	nnnYYYYYnY	0.73
Trillion	trillion	15	11	0.73	YYnnYYYYnY	0.68
Tax	tax	12	10	0.83	YYYYnYYYYY	0.64
Democrat	democrat	32	23	0.72	YnYnnYYYYY	0.62
Communist / Communism	communism|communist	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	0.57
Hottest	hottest	57	33	0.58	nnYYnYnnYn	0.57
Nuclear	nuclear	57	36	0.63	YYnnnYYnYn	0.54
Border	border	59	37	0.63	nnnYYYnYnn	0.53
Investment	investment	26	14	0.54	YnnYYYYYnY	0.52
Middle East	middle east	18	10	0.56	nYYnnnYYYn	0.49
Inflation	inflation	14	7	0.5	YYnnYYnnnY	0.44
Putin	putin	59	35	0.59	nYYnnnYnYY	0.43
Stock Market	stock market	9	5	0.56	YYYnnYYnn	0.43
Negotiate / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiation	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43
Trump	trump	16	7	0.44	nnnnnYnnYY	0.42
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	41	18	0.44	nnnnYnYnYY	0.4
Ballroom	ballroom	11	4	0.36	YYYYnnnnnn	0.37
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	16	9	0.56	YnnYnYYnnn	0.36
New York / Mayor	mayor|new york	1	0	0	n	0.34
Oil	oil	26	8	0.31	nnYYYYnnnn	0.33
Ceasefire	ceasefire	23	4	0.17	nnYnnnnnnn	0.24
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	173	18	0.1	YYYYnnnnnn	0.15
Sanction	sanction	25	3	0.12	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.12