Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 24, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say in his remarks with Gov. Landry of Louisiana?
Polymarket What will Trump say during today's event with the Governor of Louisiana?
Markets
40 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | 61%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | Yes | 60%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | 55%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff 3+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hyundai | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Steel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Plant | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billion 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 56%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Mexico | No | 54%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Pipeline | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tesla | No | 48%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Department of Education | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Judge | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Education | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Canada | No | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Prison | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bureaucratic / Bureaucracy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cajun | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gumbo | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jazz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricting | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| School choice | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Swamp | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tax reform | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Voting Rights Act | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wind | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zydeco | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Constitutional | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Natural Gas | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rare earth | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World War | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vladimir / Putin | No | 35%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Russia 5+ times | No | 34%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Recession | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zelenskyy | No | 31%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 20%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 7%n=70 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXDJTLANDRY-25MAR24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP