Will Donald Trump say “Zelenskyy”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Zelenskyy” at 6 of 19 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 4, 2024 (32%), most recently on Aug 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=19, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Zelenskyy
- Probability
- 32% · n=19
- Settled
- 6/19 (32%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…that amounts to. But Ukraine has to want to settle this war. Zelenskyy has to want to settle this war. And if he doesn't, I…
Every settled listing
newest first · 21 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Zelenskyy |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Zelenskyy | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Zelenskyy |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Zelenskyy | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Zelenskyy | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Zelenskyy”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Zelenskyy” at 6 of 19 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 4, 2024 (32%), most recently on Aug 19, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Zelenskyy” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=19). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Zelenskyy’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/zelenskyy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=zelenskyy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP