Will Donald Trump say “Billion” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Billion” 5+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 14, 2025 (50%), most recently on Mar 24, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Billion 5+ times
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…good memory to the best I just approved a steel plant for billions of dollars in a section of Iowa that can use the jobs.…
…or cyber attacks. It's pretty amazing. Americans reported losing more than $20 billion to cyber enabled crimes, and this is just what's reported. So, the…
…times five. We've never had so much money at 22.2 million uh billion. Sorry, billion with a B, not an M. If it was an…
…lovely community from Somalia, lovely country -- in Minneapolis, Minnesota, was stealing billions and billions of dollars, taxpayer money, through fraudulent childcare centers and other…
The United States Navy has recently escorted more than 1 billion barrels of oil out of the Strait of Hormuz, and more oil is flowing…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | Billion 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Billion 5+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Billion 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Billion” 5+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 14, 2025 (50%), most recently on Mar 24, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Billion 5+ times” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Billion 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/billion-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=billion%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP