Will Donald Trump say “Education”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Education” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2025 (40%), most recently on Nov 13, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

32%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Education

Probability
32% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 33:05In transcript

…they're going to pay the teachers $50,000 a piece, take care of education. Then they had another one in another state and they decided to…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:29:32In transcript

No, it's not about education, it's about immigration. It's about illegal people coming in who basically hate France, they hate the people, they hate everything,…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · settled no

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 19, 2026EducationKalshiNo–
Sep 11, 2026EducationPolymarketNo0
Nov 14, 2025EducationKalshiYes–
Mar 24, 2025EducationPolymarketNo–
Feb 20, 2025EducationKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Education”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Education” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2025 (40%), most recently on Nov 13, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Education” next time?
32%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Education’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/education (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=education · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP