Will Donald Trump say “Vladimir / Putin”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vladimir / Putin” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2025 (33%), most recently on Mar 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Vladimir / Putin
- Probability
- 41% · n=6
- Settled
- 2/6 (33%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…took him. He lived a tough life for years. And I called Vladimir Putin on Friday and I said, "Will you do me a favor?…
…many people that can answer those questions, I'll tell you. But I put in a I wanted to do an executive order where every anybody…
…the the stage earlier. But the other day I was talking to Vladimir Putin about settling his war with Ukraine, which I think we're getting…
…men. Elon just made a big investment. Uh Michael Dell and Susan put in think of it 6 bill250 million now. 6 bill2 I have…
…I thought that would be the easiest one. The hatred between President Putin and President Zelenskyy is tremendous. I think that's most of the reason…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | Vladimir / Putin |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Vladimir / Putin | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Vladimir / Putin | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Vladimir/Putin | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Vladimir/Putin | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Vladimir/Putin | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Vladimir / Putin”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vladimir / Putin” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2025 (33%), most recently on Mar 4, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Vladimir / Putin” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Vladimir / Putin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/putin-or-vladimir (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=putin%20%2F%20vladimir · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP