Will Donald Trump say “Plant”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Plant” at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 24, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Plant
- Probability
- 46% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…it doesn't so work but we've got more factories right now and plants being built in the United States of America by far than we…
…22. This is a record by five times. 22.2 and they're building plants all over Iowa. To the best of my memory and I happen…
…Because in order not to pay tariffs, they have to build their plant here. That's why you have more plants being built, Henry, right now…
…$22.2 trillion coming in. We have tremendous growth; we have factories and plants going up at a level that we've never seen before. But we're…
…have ever been able to do before. Top of the line stuff. In addition, in the very near future, massive munition plants will be opening.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Plant”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Plant” at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 24, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Plant” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Plant’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/plant (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=plant · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP