Will Donald Trump say “Judge”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Judge” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 13, 2025 (57%), most recently on May 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 4/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Judge
- Probability
- 41% · n=7
- Settled
- 4/7 (57%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…know, your your security, your law enforcement, your police are incredible. I judge places No, I judge places by how long it takes. You know,…
…one is mandatory minimums for everyone who commits benefits fraud. Right now, judges are routinely giving slaps on the wrist to people who commit what…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Judge”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Judge” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 13, 2025 (57%), most recently on May 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Judge” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Judge’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/judge (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=judge · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP