Will Donald Trump say “Wind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Wind” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 24, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
46%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Wind
- Probability
- 46% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Wind”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Wind” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 24, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Wind” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Wind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/wind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=wind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP