Will Donald Trump say “Prison”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Prison” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 24, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Prison
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…American history, and allowed 25 million people to invade your country by pouring across our borders from all over the world. From prisons, they came.
…free health care to all illegal aliens, defunding the police, closing all prisons, releasing thousands of violent criminals to rob, rape, and kill. Why can't…
…governments and the Department of Justice to bring these individuals into our prison system to face real jail time here in the United States for…
…way we had to live without people murderers and they came from prisons. They came from all over the world prisons. They emptied out their…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | Prison |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Prison”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Prison” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 24, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Prison” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Prison’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/prison (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=prison · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP