The Weeknight
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kalshi has settled 233 word markets on The Weeknight since 2025, on 91 different words; most reliably said: “Trump” (12 of 14).
History Wall
1–40 of 93, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Apr 27episode | Jun 15episode | Jun 16episode | Jun 22episode | Aug 13episode | Sep 16episode | Sep 22episode | Sep 23episode | Sep 29episode | Oct 19latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Settled no: Republican, Apr 27 episode | Settled no: Republican, Jun 15 episode | Settled no: Republican, Jun 16 episode | Settled yes: Republican, Jun 22 episode | Settled no: Republican, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Republican, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Republican, Sep 22 episode | 5 times: Republican, Sep 23 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Republican, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Republican, Oct 19 episode | 2/729% | 6/1638% | 39%n=16 from settlement history |
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Trump, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Trump, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Trump, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Trump, Aug 13 episode | 2 times: Trump, Sep 16 episode, counts as said | 6 times: Trump, Sep 22 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Trump, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Trump, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Trump, Oct 19 episode | 2/367% | 12/1486% | 50%n=14 from settlement history |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Apr 27 episode | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 16 episode | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 13 episode | 0 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 16 episode | 0 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 22 episode | 4 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 23 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 19 episode | 2/540% | 4/1040% | 39%n=10 from settlement history |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 15 episode | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 22 episode | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 13 episode | 1 time: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 16 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 22 episode | 1 time: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 23 episode, counts as said (our count 1 · the market settled no) | 2 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 29 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 19 episode | 4/850% | 3/1030% | 39%n=10 from settlement history |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 27 episode | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 16 episode | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 22 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 16 episode | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 22 episode | 2 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 23 episode, counts as said | 1 time: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 19 episode | 4/850% | 4/944% | 48%n=9 from settlement history |
| Healthcare | Not listed: Healthcare, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 16 episode | Settled yes: Healthcare, Jun 22 episode | Settled no: Healthcare, Aug 13 episode | 2 times: Healthcare, Sep 16 episode, counts as said | 1 time: Healthcare, Sep 22 episode, counts as said | 1 time: Healthcare, Sep 23 episode, counts as said | 1 time: Healthcare, Sep 29 episode, counts as said | 3 times: Healthcare, Oct 19 episode, counts as said | 6/786% | 6/875% | 60%n=8 from settlement history |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Apr 27 episode | Settled no: Election, Jun 15 episode | Settled no: Election, Jun 16 episode | Settled no: Election, Jun 22 episode | Settled no: Election, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Election, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Election, Sep 22 episode | 2 times: Election, Sep 23 episode, counts as said | 5 times: Election, Sep 29 episode, counts as said | 2 times: Election, Oct 19 episode, counts as said | 3/743% | 3/838% | 52%n=8 from settlement history |
| Iran / Iranian | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 16 episode | 0 times: Iran / Iranian, Sep 22 episode | 0 times: Iran / Iranian, Sep 23 episode | 1 time: Iran / Iranian, Sep 29 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Iran / Iranian, Oct 19 episode | 1/520% | 2/825% | 34%n=8 from settlement history |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 16 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 22 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 13 episode | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 16 episode | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 22 episode | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 23 episode | 4 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 29 episode, counts as said | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 19 episode | 1/812% | 1/812% | 31%n=8 from settlement history |
| Epstein | Not listed: Epstein, Apr 27 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 19 episode | 0/10% | 4/757% | 40%n=7 from settlement history |
| Trump3+ times | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Apr 27 episode | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Jun 15 episode | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Jun 16 episode | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Jun 22 episode | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Sep 22 episode | 1 time: Trump (3+ times), Sep 23 episode, below the threshold | 2 times: Trump (3+ times), Sep 29 episode, below the threshold | 5 times: Trump (3+ times), Oct 19 episode, counts as said | 1/714% | 1/714% | 38%n=7 from settlement history |
| ICE / National Guard | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 19 episode | – | 5/683% | 40%n=6 from settlement history |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Apr 27 episode | Settled no: ICE, Jun 15 episode | Settled no: ICE, Jun 16 episode | Settled yes: ICE, Jun 22 episode | Settled no: ICE, Aug 13 episode | 0 times: ICE, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: ICE, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: ICE, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: ICE, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: ICE, Oct 19 episode | 1/520% | 1/520% | 35%n=5 from settlement history |
| Billionaire | Not listed: Billionaire, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Billionaire, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Billionaire, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Billionaire, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Billionaire, Aug 13 episode | 0 times: Billionaire, Sep 16 episode | 0 times: Billionaire, Sep 22 episode | 1 time: Billionaire, Sep 23 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Billionaire, Sep 29 episode | 1 time: Billionaire, Oct 19 episode, counts as said | 2/450% | 2/450% | 46%n=4 from settlement history |
| Mask / Masked | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Oct 19 episode | – | 2/450% | 40%n=4 from settlement history |
| 2028 / Campaign | Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Jun 15 episode | Settled no: 2028 / Campaign, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Sep 16 episode | 0 times: 2028 / Campaign, Sep 22 episode | 0 times: 2028 / Campaign, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Sep 29 episode | 1 time: 2028 / Campaign, Oct 19 episode, counts as said | 1/425% | 1/425% | 41%n=4 from settlement history |
| Bipartisan | Settled no: Bipartisan, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Bipartisan, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Bipartisan, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Bipartisan, Jun 22 episode | Settled yes: Bipartisan, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Bipartisan, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Bipartisan, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Bipartisan, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Bipartisan, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Bipartisan, Oct 19 episode | 1/250% | 1/425% | 42%n=4 from settlement history |
| Protest / Protester | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Oct 19 episode | – | 1/425% | 40%n=4 from settlement history |
| Tariffnever said | Not listed: Tariff, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Aug 13 episode | 0 times: Tariff, Sep 16 episode | 0 times: Tariff, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Sep 23 episode | 0 times: Tariff, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Oct 19 episode | 0/30% | 0/40% | 30%n=4 from settlement history |
| Pam / Bondi | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Pam / Bondi, Oct 19 episode | – | 2/367% | 40%n=3 from settlement history |
| Kristi / Noem | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Oct 19 episode | – | 2/367% | 40%n=3 from settlement history |
| Fraud | Not listed: Fraud, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 16 episode | Settled yes: Fraud, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Oct 19 episode | 1/1100% | 1/333% | 41%n=3 from settlement history |
| Data Center | Not listed: Data Center, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Data Center, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Data Center, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Data Center, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Data Center, Aug 13 episode | 0 times: Data Center, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Data Center, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Data Center, Sep 23 episode | 0 times: Data Center, Sep 29 episode | 0 times: Data Center, Oct 19 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 29%n=3 from settlement history |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 19 episode | – | 0/30% | 39%n=3 from settlement history |
| Corrupt / Corruption / Crook | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption / Crook, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption / Crook, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption / Crook, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption / Crook, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption / Crook, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption / Crook, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption / Crook, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption / Crook, Sep 23 episode | 1 time: Corrupt / Corruption / Crook, Sep 29 episode, counts as said | 2 times: Corrupt / Corruption / Crook, Oct 19 episode, counts as said | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 53%n=2 from settlement history |
| ICE / Border | Not listed: ICE / Border, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Oct 19 episode | – | 1/250% | 40%n=2 from settlement history |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Sep 22 episode | 1 time: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Sep 23 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Oct 19 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 41%n=2 from settlement history |
| FBI | Not listed: FBI, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: FBI, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: FBI, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: FBI, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: FBI, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: FBI, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: FBI, Sep 22 episode | 0 times: FBI, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: FBI, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: FBI, Oct 19 episode | 0/10% | 1/250% | 36%n=2 from settlement history |
| Hormuz | Not listed: Hormuz, Apr 27 episode | Settled no: Hormuz, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: Hormuz, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Oct 19 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 40%n=2 from settlement history |
| Melania | Settled no: Melania, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Melania, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Melania, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Melania, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Melania, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Melania, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Melania, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Melania, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Melania, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Melania, Oct 19 episode | 0/10% | 1/250% | 40%n=2 from settlement history |
| Constitution / Constitutional | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Oct 19 episode | – | 0/20% | 40%n=2 from settlement history |
| Democracy | Not listed: Democracy, Apr 27 episode | Settled no: Democracy, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Sep 22 episode | 0 times: Democracy, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Oct 19 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 35%n=2 from settlement history |
| Renee / Pretti | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Oct 19 episode | – | 0/20% | 40%n=2 from settlement history |
| Afghanistan / Iraq | Not listed: Afghanistan / Iraq, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Afghanistan / Iraq, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: Afghanistan / Iraq, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Afghanistan / Iraq, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Afghanistan / Iraq, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Afghanistan / Iraq, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Afghanistan / Iraq, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Afghanistan / Iraq, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Afghanistan / Iraq, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Afghanistan / Iraq, Oct 19 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Andy Biggs | Not listed: Andy Biggs, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Andy Biggs, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Andy Biggs, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Andy Biggs, Jun 22 episode | Settled yes: Andy Biggs, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Andy Biggs, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Andy Biggs, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Andy Biggs, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Andy Biggs, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Andy Biggs, Oct 19 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Billion | Not listed: Billion, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Billion, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: Billion, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Billion, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Billion, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Billion, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Billion, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Billion, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Billion, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Billion, Oct 19 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Todd / Blanche | Not listed: Todd / Blanche, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Todd / Blanche, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Todd / Blanche, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Todd / Blanche, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Todd / Blanche, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Todd / Blanche, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Todd / Blanche, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Todd / Blanche, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Todd / Blanche, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Todd / Blanche, Oct 19 episode | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE / Border / Homeland | Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Oct 19 episode | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Criminal / Citizen | Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Apr 27 episode | Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Oct 19 episode | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Clayton / Gabbard | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Apr 27 episode | Settled yes: Clayton / Gabbard, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Jun 16 episode | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Aug 13 episode | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Sep 16 episode | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Sep 22 episode | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Sep 23 episode | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Sep 29 episode | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Oct 19 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 67 of 68 settled words resolved (98.5%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Jon Ossoff say during The Weeknight? | Captions · machine-attributed | 13 | 6 yes · 7 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Sep 29, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Mark Kelly say during The Weeknight? | Captions · machine-attributed | 16 | 8 yes · 8 no | 15/15 (100%) |
| Sep 23, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Cory Booker say during The Weeknight? | Captions · machine-attributed | 16 | 7 yes · 9 no | 14/15 (93%) |
| Sep 22, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Andy Beshear say during The Weeknight? | Captions · machine-attributed | 14 | 4 yes · 10 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Sep 16, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Weeknight? | Captions · machine-attributed | 14 | 4 yes · 10 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Aug 13, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Katie Hobbs say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? | no transcript | 12 | 4 yes · 8 no | – |
| Jun 22, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Raphael Warnock say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? | no transcript | 11 | 4 yes · 7 no | – |
| Jun 16, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Wes Moore say during The Weeknight? | no transcript | 13 | 5 yes · 8 no | – |
| Jun 15, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Adam Schiff say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? | no transcript | 13 | 2 yes · 11 no | – |
| Apr 27, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Jacky Rosen say during The Weeknight? | no transcript | 11 | 0 yes · 11 no | – |
| Apr 14, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Robert Garcia say during The Weeknight? | no transcript | 12 | 7 yes · 5 no | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Robert Garcia say during his MS NOW interview? | no transcript | 11 | 4 yes · 7 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “The Weeknight: mention market word history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-weeknight (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/the-weeknight · words: /api/v1/history?entity=the-weeknight · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP