Will “Protest / Protester” be said on The Weeknight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Protest / Protester” was said on The Weeknight in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 10, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jan 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
40%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Weeknight
Protest / Protester
- Probability
- 40% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Protest / Protester |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Protest / Protester | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Protest / Protester | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Protest / Protester | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Protest / Protester” said on The Weeknight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Protest / Protester” was said on The Weeknight in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 10, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jan 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Protest / Protester” is said on The Weeknight next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Weeknight: ‘Protest / Protester’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-weeknight/words/protest-or-protester (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-weeknight&word=protest%20%2F%20protester · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-weeknight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP