Will “Billionaire” be said on The Weeknight next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Billionaire” was said on The Weeknight in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 16, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 16, 2026 – Oct 19, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

46%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-weeknight&word=billionaire

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Weeknight

Billionaire

Probability
46% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last 5 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Weeknight? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jon Ossoffguest10:55In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Ossoff rally clipother9:40In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

What will Mark Kelly say during The Weeknight? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during The Weeknight? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Cory Bookerguest31:21In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

What will Andy Beshear say during The Weeknight? · not said

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Weeknight? · not said

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What will Katie Hobbs say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? · not listed

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What will Raphael Warnock say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during The Weeknight? · not listed

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What will Adam Schiff say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? · not listed

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What will Jacky Rosen say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 19, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes1
Sep 23, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes1
Sep 22, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0
Sep 16, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Billionaire” said on The Weeknight?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Billionaire” was said on The Weeknight in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 16, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026.
What is the probability “Billionaire” is said on The Weeknight next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Weeknight: ‘Billionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-weeknight/words/billionaire (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-weeknight&word=billionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-weeknight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP