Will “ICE” be said on The Weeknight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE” was said on The Weeknight in 1 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 15, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 16, 2026 – Oct 19, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Weeknight
ICE
- Probability
- 35% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “ICE” said on The Weeknight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE” was said on The Weeknight in 1 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 15, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 22, 2026.
- What is the probability “ICE” is said on The Weeknight next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Weeknight: ‘ICE’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-weeknight/words/ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-weeknight&word=ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-weeknight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP