The Weeknight: Episode, Aug 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Katie Hobbs say during MS NOW: The Weeknight?
Markets
11 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Biggs | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bipartisan | Yes | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 36%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 29%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 39%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 32%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26AUG13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP