Will “Shutdown / Shut Down” be said on The Weeknight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Shutdown / Shut Down” was not said on The Weeknight in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
39%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Weeknight
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 39% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Shutdown / Shut Down” said on The Weeknight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Shutdown / Shut Down” was not said on The Weeknight in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Shutdown / Shut Down” is said on The Weeknight next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Weeknight: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-weeknight/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-weeknight&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-weeknight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP