Will “2028 / Campaign” be said on The Weeknight next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “2028 / Campaign” was said on The Weeknight in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2026 (25%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 16, 2026 – Oct 19, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

41%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-weeknight&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Weeknight

2028 / Campaign

Probability
41% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)
Last 5 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Weeknight? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 8 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jon Ossoffguest11:43In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Mark Kelly say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Cory Booker say during The Weeknight? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Andy Beshear say during The Weeknight? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Katie Hobbs say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during The Weeknight? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Adam Schiff say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jacky Rosen say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 19, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiYes1
Sep 23, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo0
Sep 22, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo0
Jun 16, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “2028 / Campaign” said on The Weeknight?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “2028 / Campaign” was said on The Weeknight in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2026 (25%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026.
What is the probability “2028 / Campaign” is said on The Weeknight next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Weeknight: ‘2028 / Campaign’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-weeknight/words/2028-or-campaign (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-weeknight&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-weeknight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP